Астон Вилла - Кристал Пэлас Превью
- Ничья или победа "Виллы
- Менее 2,5 голов
Aston Villa and Crystal Palace will both be juggling European commitments this season, but as the third round of Premier League fixtures arrives, neither side has yet managed to secure a first victory. That makes this early-season clash at Villa Park particularly important, with both managers under pressure to get points on the board and establish momentum before the European group stages begin.
Villa’s start to the season could hardly have been more frustrating. Two matches in, and they are still searching for their first goal of the campaign. A goalless draw at home to Newcastle on the opening weekend wasn’t disastrous, but last weekend’s 1-0 defeat away to Brentford highlighted their struggles in the final third. Manager Unai Emery cut a frustrated figure after that match, lamenting his side’s lack of creativity, but he will take comfort from Villa Park’s fortress-like status.
The Villans are unbeaten in 19 Premier League home matches (W11, D8) and the last side to defeat them at home was none other than Thursday’s visitors, Crystal Palace, who triumphed in a League Cup clash back in October 2024. A repeat of that result would bring back unwelcome memories for the Villa faithful, and it would mark the first time since 2012/13 that the club failed to win any of their opening three league games.
Palace’s summer was dominated by off-field matters, including the legal wrangle that saw them demoted from the Europa League to the Conference League despite winning the FA Cup. They have since confirmed their place in the Conference League proper after edging past Fredrikstad 1-0 on aggregate in their playoff tie.
That success ensures Palace will take part in the group stage of a European competition for the first time in their history, but it may have distracted from their Premier League start. The Eagles have drawn both of their opening two matches, a goalless draw at Chelsea followed by a 1-1 home stalemate with Nottingham Forest.
With six draws in their last eight league games (W2), Oliver Glasner’s men must find a way to turn resilient performances into wins if they are to build on last season’s FA Cup triumph.
История встреч
This fixture has produced a fascinating balance in recent years. Crystal Palace hold the upper hand in recent meetings, winning four of the last five H2Hs (D1). However, Villa boast a strong home record against the Eagles, with Palace failing to win any of the last eight league visits to Villa Park (W5, D3).
Interestingly, Villa’s home defensive resilience is particularly notable in this fixture. They have conceded more than one goal in just one of their 13 historical home Premier League meetings with Palace. That record suggests that if Palace are to come away with victory, they will need to break down one of the most stubborn defences they regularly encounter.
Горячая статистика и полосы
- Villa haven’t conceded after the 65th minute in any of their last eight home league games.
- Villa have conceded more than once in just one of their 13 historical home Premier League H2Hs against Palace.
- Nine of Crystal Palace’s last 12 Premier League games have seen under 2.5 total goals.
- No Premier League side have won fewer corners than Palace this season (three).
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Aston Villa – Джон МакГинн
Villa’s captain could provide the inspiration they need. McGinn has a strong record in front of goal, with his side winning on 14 of the last 15 occasions he found the net.
That run began with a decisive strike away at Palace, and with Villa’s forward line misfiring, his late runs into the box could prove invaluable once again.
Кристал Пэлас - Жан-Филипп Матета
The French striker remains a consistent goal threat for the Eagles. He scored against Villa the last time these sides met in the league, and a striking statistic highlights his pattern: ten of his last 11 Premier League goals have come after half-time.
That knack of striking late could be critical if this game is finely balanced in the second half.
Injury Concerns
For Villa, midfielder Boubacar Kamara is a doubt after limping off against Brentford last week, while Emery otherwise has his key players available. Palace’s Daichi Kamada is yet to feature in the league this season due to fitness concerns, while Eddie Nketiah remains sidelined with a hamstring problem.
Анализ ставок
This game looks finely poised, but the circumstances suggest Villa might just have the edge. Their formidable home record, combined with Palace’s fatigue from a midweek trip to Norway in the Conference League, tilts the balance toward the hosts. Palace’s games are often low-scoring and tight, so Villa to win with under 2.5 goals in the match could represent a smart play.
Предсказание
With Villa desperate to kickstart their campaign and Palace perhaps a little leg-weary from European exertions, Emery’s side could finally find their breakthrough.
Predicted Score: Aston Villa 1-0 Crystal Palace
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Aston Villa v Crystal Palace | 2025/2026 | Premier League | Overview