Tottenham vs Burnley Preview

• Шпоры победят
• Менее 2,5 голов

The 2025/26 Premier League season begins with a classic David vs Goliath storyline as UEFA Europa League winners Tottenham Hotspur welcome newly-promoted Burnley to north London.

Tottenham come into this campaign with renewed ambition but also plenty of questions following a turbulent summer. Томас Франк, formerly of Brentford, takes charge for the first time after the surprise dismissal of Ange Postecoglou despite the Australian guiding the club to European silverware. Frank’s remit is clear: improve on last season’s disappointing 17th-place league finish, the lowest in Spurs’ Premier League history. His first competitive match in charge ended in heartbreak, as Spurs surrendered a 2-0 lead in the UEFA Super Cup against PSG and eventually lost on penalties. It was a sobering reminder that despite moments of brilliance, this side is still capable of letting leads slip against top opposition.

The north London club will nevertheless take heart from a strong record in their opening home league games, winning each of the last four, including comfortable victories in the previous three seasons by margins of two or more goals. However, they’ll also be conscious of last year’s false start when they drew 1-1 against newly-promoted Leicester on the opening weekend — a cautionary tale as they prepare to face another side fresh from Championship success.

Burnley arrive at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium riding the momentum of a record-breaking second-tier campaign in which they amassed 100 points and broke multiple defensive records. Under the leadership of Scott Parker, a former Spurs player, they conceded the fewest goals in the Championship and displayed remarkable consistency across the season. Even so, the summer has brought challenges, with three key players departing. In response, the club acted decisively in the transfer market, making 13 signings to reinforce the squad. The new arrivals provide Parker with depth and competition in all areas, which could be vital in their bid to stay up.

History is not in Burnley’s favour when it comes to opening-day success. They have failed to win their first Premier League game since the 2019/20 season, losing each of the last three, but Parker’s defensive organisation and willingness to frustrate opponents may make them a more difficult opening-day challenge than the gulf in resources suggests.

История встреч

Tottenham have historically dominated this fixture in the Premier League, winning 12 of the 18 meetings (D3, L3). Their dominance is even clearer when looking at games in north London — Spurs have triumphed in 12 of the last 13 competitive home meetings with Burnley, often in convincing fashion.

Burnley’s rare successes in this fixture have tended to come at Turf Moor, and they have struggled to contain Spurs’ attacking quality away from home. This head-to-head trend suggests the visitors will need something extraordinary to leave with a result.

Горячая статистика и полосы

• Tottenham have won their opening home league game by a margin of two or more goals in each of the last three seasons.
• Spurs have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine home league matches against newly-promoted opposition.
• Burnley kept 30 clean sheets in 46 Championship matches last season, underlining their defensive pedigree.
• The Clarets scored after the 70th minute in five of their last six Premier League games, showing a knack for late goals.

Key Players to Watch and Missing Players

For Tottenham, forward Бреннан Джонсон will be a focal point in attack after his heroics in the Europa League final, where he scored the opener.

His recent Premier League record against newly-promoted teams is impressive — his last four league goals all came before half-time against such opposition.

For Burnley, winger Jacob Bruun Larsen will look to make an impact on his permanent return to the club after a previous loan spell.

Notably, he scored in this very fixture during the 2023/24 season and remains the only Burnley player ever to have netted at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

On the team news front, Spurs will be without playmaker James Maddison and winger Dejan Kulusevski, both ruled out for this clash. Burnley have suffered their own setbacks, with last season’s second-top scorer Zian Flemming sidelined and forward Zeki Amdouni facing a potentially season-ending injury sustained in pre-season.

Анализ ставок

The betting markets make Tottenham strong favourites, but the combination of their attacking quality and Burnley’s defensive organisation points towards a potentially tighter game than some expect. Spurs’ tendency to concede against newly-promoted opposition in home matches is a factor to consider, but Burnley’s own attacking absences may limit their ability to exploit that weakness.

Given Burnley’s disciplined shape and Spurs’ occasional struggles to break down compact defences, a Tottenham win with under 2.5 total goals offers an intriguing angle. For those seeking more risk, betting on Tottenham to lead at half-time and win could appeal, given Johnson’s habit of early goals and Burnley’s likely cautious start.

Для получения дополнительной информации об этой игре вы также можете посетить сайт:
Tottenham Hotspur v Burnley | 2025/2026 | Premier League | Overview