Qarabag vs Chelsea Preview

• Chelsea akan menang
• Not both teams to score

UEFA Champions League (UCL) surprise package Qarabağ continue their remarkable European journey as they host two-time winners Chelsea in Baku. Both sides enter matchday four with momentum on their side, though the stakes are higher than ever as Qarabağ chase a potential place in the knockout stages for the first time in their history.

Qarabağ’s European campaign has been nothing short of impressive. The Azerbaijani champions are balancing a strong domestic title challenge with their best-ever start to a UCL campaign (W2, L1). Although their 2-0 defeat away to Athletic Club on matchday three halted their momentum, Gurban Gurbanov’s men have shown resilience and tactical discipline throughout the competition.

Returning to Baku should be a welcome boost, even if this fixture will be played at the neutral Tofiq Bahramov Stadium rather than their usual home ground. Qarabağ have turned the Azerbaijani capital into something of a fortress, keeping five consecutive clean sheets as hosts (W4, D1). Their 2-0 victory over Copenhagen on matchday two demonstrated their ability to frustrate and counter against stronger sides. Securing another positive result here would see them record back-to-back European ‘home’ wins for the first time in their history — a milestone within reach if they can maintain their defensive composure.

Chelsea, meanwhile, are flying high under Enzo Maresca, whose side have won six of their last seven competitive matches (L1) after a hard-fought 1-0 win away to Tottenham at the weekend. The Blues have rediscovered the balance between attacking flair and defensive stability, with their young squad showing maturity well beyond its years.

Their domestic form has translated seamlessly onto the European stage, where Chelsea have been formidable. Under Maresca’s guidance, the Londoners have won 20 of their 23 games in international competitions, scoring in every single one. However, their away form in the Champions League remains a concern. A 3-1 defeat at Bayern Munich earlier in the campaign marked their third consecutive UCL away loss, and another setback in Baku would see them suffer four successive away defeats in the competition for the first time since 2005 — a record Maresca will be desperate to avoid.

Riwayat Head-to-Head

This will be only the third-ever meeting between the two clubs, with Chelsea dominating the previous encounters. Back in the 2017/18 UCL group stage, Qarabağ lost both games by a combined scoreline of 10-0. That heavy defeat was part of a wider trend, as Qarabağ have now lost seven straight matches against English opposition, often struggling to cope with the tempo and technical quality of Premier League sides.

Statistik dan Streak Panas

• Just two of Qarabağ’s last eight competitive matches have seen both teams score.
• Qarabağ have scored 2+ goals in four of their last five European home games.
• Chelsea have scored six of their seven UCL goals this season before half-time.
• None of Chelsea’s last 51 European fixtures have ended goalless.

Key Players to Watch and Missing Players

For Qarabağ, Leandro Andrade remains the talisman. The Cape Verde international has scored all five of his goals this season in European competition, underlining his knack for delivering when it matters most.

Notably, all of those strikes came before the 60th minute, making him a potential first-half threat against a Chelsea defence that can sometimes start slowly on the road.

Chelsea’s emerging star Estêvão continues to draw headlines. The teenage prodigy scored his first Champions League goal in the 5-1 demolition of Ajax on matchday three, and another strike here would see him become the first South American player aged 18 or younger to score in consecutive UCL matches.

With his explosive pace and technical brilliance, the young Brazilian is quickly becoming one of Maresca’s most exciting attacking options.

Both sides report clean bills of health ahead of this contest, which should allow for strong starting XIs on either side.

Tactical Overview

Gurban Gurbanov’s Qarabağ typically line up in a compact 4-2-3-1 formation, relying on quick transitions and set-piece efficiency. Their disciplined structure and willingness to sit deep have frustrated opponents throughout the campaign, but facing Chelsea’s attacking dynamism could stretch them to their limits. Maintaining their shape and avoiding early concessions will be key if they are to stand any chance of securing another famous result.

Chelsea, meanwhile, will stick to their fluid 4-3-3, designed to dominate possession and press high up the pitch. Maresca’s men are at their most dangerous when controlling tempo and creating overloads down the flanks.

Analisis Taruhan

History heavily favours the visitors. Qarabağ’s dreadful record against English teams, coupled with Chelsea’s clinical finishing under Maresca, makes an away win highly likely. Given Qarabağ’s defensive discipline, a high-scoring affair seems unlikely, but Chelsea’s superior quality should see them manage the game comfortably.

The Chelsea win to nil market offers the best value, aligning with both sides’ statistical trends — Qarabağ’s struggles to score against elite opposition and Chelsea’s consistent habit of finding the net early.

Prediction: Qarabağ 0–2 Chelsea

Qarabağ have been the surprise story of this year’s competition, but Chelsea’s experience and firepower should prove too strong. Expect a professional performance from the Blues to keep their European ambitions firmly on track.

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Qarabağ vs Chelsea | UEFA Champions League 2025/26