Avant-première Tottenham - Manchester United

• Les Spurs gagnent
• Plus de 2,5 buts

After a blistering midweek European performance, Tottenham return to Premier League duty looking to rediscover their domestic rhythm when they host long-time rivals Manchester United. The North London side have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture in recent years, and will be confident of extending that dominance against a United team still struggling for consistency on the road.

Tottenham’s emphatic 4-0 UEFA Champions League win over Copenhagen was the perfect tonic to the frustrations of last weekend’s 1-0 home defeat to Chelsea. That result was notable for all the wrong reasons — Spurs produced just 0.1 expected goals (xG), the lowest attacking output by any Premier League side in a single match this season. Manager Thomas Frank will have been relieved to see his team respond so convincingly in midweek, as the victory not only restored confidence but also reminded fans of their attacking potential when everything clicks.

However, Tottenham’s home form in 2025 remains a concern. They’ve lost a league-high nine Premier League home games this calendar year, a record that undercuts their ambitions of a top-four finish. Only twice before in the Premier League era (in 2013 and 2021) have they reached double figures for home defeats within a single year — something Frank will be desperate to avoid repeating. Still, their recent record against United gives cause for optimism.

Manchester United, meanwhile, come into this contest having shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest, a game that summed up their ongoing inconsistencies. The Red Devils conceded twice in two minutes but fought back, requiring a late equaliser to rescue a point. Despite those defensive lapses, the result extended United’s unbeaten run to four Premier League games (W3, D1) — equalling their best streak under Ruben Amorim since his appointment.

The next step for Amorim’s men is to translate that home form into away success. United’s road record makes grim reading: just one win from their last 11 domestic away games (D3, L7). Their struggles in London are particularly stark, with only three wins from their last 25 Premier League visits to the capital (D6, L16). That combination of defensive instability and travel fatigue makes this trip to North London a daunting one.

Historique du face-à-face

Tottenham have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning all four meetings last season, including the Europa League final, which delivered the club their first major European trophy in over four decades. That triumph capped a seven-match unbeaten run against United (W5, D2), during which Spurs kept four clean sheets and outscored their opponents 13–3.

United’s recent record against Tottenham is bleak — they’ve now gone seven games without a win in the fixture, and defeat here would mark their first run of five consecutive losses to the same opponent in over 20 years.

Statistiques et séries chaudes

• Six of the eight league goals Tottenham have conceded this season came before half-time.
• Spurs have kept four clean sheets in the last six H2Hs.
• United have registered a league-high 54 shots on target this season, highlighting their attacking volume under Amorim.
• Despite that, United have won just one of their three away league matches when scoring first (D2).

Joueurs clés à surveiller et joueurs manquants

Tottenham’s Micky van de Ven continues to be a standout presence at both ends of the pitch. The Dutch defender has already scored six goals this season — three of his last four with his head — and has become a major aerial threat from set-pieces.

His partnership with Cristian Romero will be crucial in stifling United’s front line, particularly from wide deliveries.

For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes remains the creative hub. The Portuguese playmaker is looking to provide an assist in a third consecutive away league game for the first time since November 2020, though he’s gone six matches against Tottenham without a goal contribution.

Fernandes’ battle with Tottenham’s midfield pivot could be decisive, especially if United hope to control possession and dictate tempo.

On the team news front, Tottenham will be without Lucas Bergvall, who remains sidelined, though Mohammed Kudus could return after missing the midweek European clash. United, meanwhile, report no new injury concerns, allowing Amorim to name a settled starting XI.

Aperçu tactique

Thomas Frank will likely stick with his dynamic 4-3-3 system, encouraging his full-backs to push high and overload United’s flanks. Expect Spurs to focus their attacks through the pace of Brennan Johnson and Dejan Kulusevski, while James Maddison’s creativity between the lines will be vital in breaking down United’s compact defensive shape.

Ruben Amorim’s United have been steadily evolving tactically, with a greater emphasis on vertical passing and pressing from the front. However, their defensive lapses remain costly — especially away from home, where their high line and transitional vulnerabilities have been repeatedly exposed. Amorim may set his side up in a more conservative 3-4-2-1, aiming to absorb pressure and counter through Alejandro Garnacho and Rasmus Højlund.

Analyse des paris

Given Tottenham’s strong H2H record and United’s ongoing struggles on their travels, it would be a brave move to back the visitors here. Spurs have been dominant in this fixture recently and look capable of exploiting United’s defensive fragility once more.

However, both sides have shown a tendency toward open, high-scoring games — and with United leading the league in shots on target, the goals market looks attractive. Backing Tottenham to win and over 3.5 total goals appears a well-balanced wager that aligns with both teams’ current trends.

Prediction: Tottenham 3–1 Manchester United

Tottenham’s midweek confidence boost and their remarkable H2H record against United should see them through. Expect a lively affair with plenty of attacking intent, but ultimately another home win for the North Londoners as United’s away frustrations continue.

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Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United | 2025/2026 | Premier League | Overview