Aston Villa vs Burnley Preview

• Villa gagne
• Watkins to score

Aston Villa finally secured their first Premier League victory of the season last weekend, and they’ll now aim to build on that momentum when Burnley visit Villa Park. With Unai Emery’s side showing signs of consistency across domestic and European competition, this clash represents an opportunity to continue climbing the table, while Burnley remain under pressure near the relegation zone.

After a difficult start, Aston Villa are beginning to show the pedigree that carried them to European qualification last term. They enter this fixture on the back of three consecutive victories in all competitions, including a 2-0 midweek triumph over Feyenoord in the Europa League.

That success came amid a congested schedule, with this game marking their sixth in just three weeks. Fatigue could therefore influence Emery’s team selection, but confidence in the squad is high following their 3-1 win against Fulham last weekend. That result underlined Villa’s formidable home record: just one defeat in their last 21 Premier League games at Villa Park (W12, D8, L1).

Villa’s track record against newly promoted sides adds further weight to their status as favourites. They are unbeaten in their last 16 league matches against promoted opposition (W12, D4), showcasing their ability to avoid slip-ups in fixtures where three points are expected.

Burnley: Struggling Against the Elite

Burnley’s return to the Premier League has been challenging. With only four points from their opening six games, Vincent Kompany’s side remain in the bottom three. However, their difficult start has been softened slightly by the fixture list, which has already pitted them against four of the traditional ‘big six’. Facing Aston Villa, a team competing in Europe, adds to that tough run.

Away from home, the picture is even more concerning. Burnley have lost all three of their league trips this season, conceding at least three goals in each. Another heavy defeat here would see them match the total number of goals they conceded across their entire Championship promotion campaign – in just seven games. The last time a club matched its previous season’s goals-against tally so early in the campaign was Liverpool back in 1894/95, underlining just how worrying Burnley’s defensive record has become.

Historique du face-à-face

Aston Villa have dominated recent meetings with Burnley, winning the last two Premier League encounters. They now have the chance to claim three straight league victories over the Clarets for the first time since 1900.

Historically, Burnley have often made life difficult for Villa, but the balance of power has shifted firmly in Emery’s favour in recent years. Villa Park, in particular, has proven a difficult venue for Burnley to collect points.

Statistiques et séries chaudes

• Aston Villa have not led a Premier League game at half-time this season (D4, L2).
• Villa’s league matches average just 1.67 goals per game, the second-lowest tally in the division pre-round.
• Burnley have conceded a league-high three goals in the opening 15 minutes of matches this season.
• Burnley have conceded the opening goal in five league games this term – more than any other team pre-round.

Acteurs clés à surveiller

Aston Villa

Ollie Watkins finally opened his Premier League account for the season against Fulham, and he has an impressive history in this fixture.

Across six career meetings with Burnley, he has produced two goals, three assists, and two yellow cards, highlighting both his attacking influence and combative edge in these clashes. Villa will once again look to him as their focal point in attack.

Burnley

For the Clarets, Jaidon Anthony has been their standout performer, contributing to five of their six Premier League goals this season (G4, A1).

Both of his away strikes came in matches that Burnley ultimately lost, but his sharpness in the final third will be crucial if Kompany’s side are to find a way past Villa’s resilient defence.

Nouvelles de l'équipe et joueurs manquants

Aston Villa continue to manage injury concerns. Amadou Onana and Youri Tielemans remain unavailable, while Jadon Sancho and Tyrone Mings also missed the midweek Europa League fixture. Squad rotation could play a role, given the heavy schedule.

Burnley are hopeful of welcoming back Connor Roberts, who is nearing a return, but they otherwise have no fresh injury concerns. Kompany will need his strongest side available if his men are to avoid another heavy defeat on the road.

Analyse tactique

Villa’s approach under Emery is built on structure, efficiency, and defensive discipline. While they have not been quick starters this season – failing to lead at half-time in any league match – their resilience and ability to take control after the break has been evident. Expect them to remain patient, breaking Burnley down through controlled possession and set-piece strength.

Burnley, meanwhile, will need to address their defensive organisation. Early goals conceded have consistently left them chasing matches, and against a Villa side that thrives when dictating tempo at home, falling behind again could prove fatal. Kompany’s team will likely rely on quick transitions and Anthony’s creativity, but unless they tighten up at the back, they risk another long afternoon.

Analyse des paris

The trends strongly favour Aston Villa. Their imperious home record, unbeaten streak against promoted teams, and Burnley’s woeful away form all point to a comfortable home win.

Given Villa’s tendency not to lead at half-time, one angle could be Draw/Win in the Half-Time/Full-Time market, with Villa often finding their breakthrough after the interval. However, the most straightforward play remains backing Villa to win outright, as momentum is firmly with Emery’s men.

Prédiction

Villa are in excellent form and boast a superb home record, while Burnley remain fragile at the back and toothless away from home. With Watkins finding his feet and Villa’s unbeaten run against promoted sides continuing, another three points looks the most likely outcome.

Prediction: Aston Villa 2-0 Burnley

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Aston Villa v Burnley | 2025/2026 | Premier League | Overview