Sunderland vs Everton Preview

• Sunderland to win
• Moins de 2,5 buts

The Premier League’s biggest surprise story continues as newly-promoted Sunderland, sitting proudly in the top four, prepare to host an Everton side desperately searching for form. With the two clubs currently heading in opposite directions, this clash at the Stadium of Light offers both a chance to reinforce very different narratives.

Sunderland’s fairytale return to the Premier League shows no sign of slowing down. Their remarkable 2-1 away win at Chelsea last weekend was arguably their best result since returning to the top flight, underlining just how far Regis Le Bris’ men have come in a short space of time. That victory lifted the Black Cats to 17 points from their opening nine matches — equalling their best-ever tally at this stage of a Premier League season, last achieved in 1999/2000.

Back then, Sunderland went on to win their tenth game 4-0 against Bradford City, and supporters will be dreaming of a similarly emphatic continuation of this form. Le Bris’ side have blended energy, organisation, and attacking confidence beautifully, and a first run of three consecutive Premier League victories since May 2014 is now well within reach. The Stadium of Light has become a fortress once more, with Sunderland unbeaten at home so far this season (W3, D1).

For visitors Everton, the situation is far less rosy. David Moyes’ men have won just once in their last five Premier League outings (D2, L3), a run that’s left them stuck in the lower half of the table. A pair of recent defeats to Manchester City (2-0) and Tottenham (3-0) highlighted their struggles in both boxes, with the Toffees failing to score in back-to-back games. Should they fall short again here, it would mark Moyes’ first run of three consecutive defeats in all competitions since 2011.

Away from home, Everton’s issues are even more pronounced. They’ve lost four of their five Premier League road games this term (W1), failing to score in three of them. The Toffees have also looked disjointed defensively, conceding first in seven of their last nine league fixtures. If that trend continues, they may face another long evening on Wearside.

Historique du face-à-face

The recent history between these two sides has been largely balanced, though Everton have held the upper hand in recent years. Sunderland lost both league meetings in their last Premier League season (2016/17), but they haven’t lost more than two consecutive league games against Everton since a four-match losing streak between 2007 and 2009.

At the Stadium of Light, the record is far more encouraging for Sunderland. Everton have won just two of their last eight league visits (D4, L2), suggesting this is far from a happy hunting ground for the Merseysiders. With Sunderland unbeaten on home soil this term, the momentum clearly lies with the hosts.

Statistiques et séries chaudes

• Eight of Sunderland’s 11 Premier League goals this season have come after the 60th minute.
• Sunderland have collected a pre-round league-high seven points from losing positions.
• Everton have scored at least two goals in four of the last five H2Hs.
• Only two teams have accumulated more yellow cards than Everton heading into this round (22).

Key Players to Watch and Missing Players

For Sunderland, Wilson Isidor continues to be the breakout star of the season. With four league goals to his name already, the French forward is on the brink of becoming just the fifth Sunderland player to reach five Premier League goals within his first ten appearances.

His composure and clever movement have made him indispensable to Le Bris’ attack.

At the other end, Jordan Pickford faces an emotional reunion with his boyhood club. The England goalkeeper made 35 appearances for Sunderland before moving to Everton in 2017, and he’ll be desperate to perform well against his former side.

However, Pickford has managed just two clean sheets in the Premier League this season, and his defence will need to offer far greater protection if that tally is to improve here.

Both managers will be relieved that neither side has any fresh injury concerns heading into the weekend. Sunderland’s settled lineup has been a key factor behind their early success, while Everton’s lack of new absentees will at least offer Moyes some stability amid their poor run of results.

Tactical Overview

Sunderland’s approach under Le Bris has been bold and proactive. Their 4-2-3-1 system relies on a quick transition game, with inverted wingers driving towards goal and the full-backs providing width. The midfield pairing of Neil and Ekwah has offered a mix of dynamism and control, helping Sunderland outwork opponents. They’ll once again look to press high and attack with pace, using the home crowd’s energy to unsettle Everton early.

Moyes, on the other hand, is likely to prioritise compactness and discipline. Everton’s recent defensive frailties could prompt a more conservative 4-4-2 or 4-5-1 setup, with Amadou Onana and Idrissa Gueye tasked with screening the backline. The Toffees will rely heavily on set-pieces and counter-attacks, hoping Dominic Calvert-Lewin or Jack Grealish can produce moments of quality in transition.

Analyse des paris

Given the stark contrast in form and confidence levels, Sunderland look the value pick here. They are unbeaten at home, while Everton have struggled badly on the road and in front of goal. The Toffees’ recent scoring drought makes Sunderland to win to nil an appealing bet.

For those seeking more conservative options, under 2.5 total goals also has merit, as Everton’s away games tend to be cagey, with four of their last five road matches producing two or fewer goals. However, Sunderland’s late-scoring habit could once again see them edge the contest after the interval.

Prediction: Sunderland 2–0 Everton

The Black Cats’ confidence and intensity should prove too much for an Everton side still searching for rhythm. Sunderland look well-equipped to extend their fairytale run with another statement win and a clean sheet to match.

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