Manchester City vs Everton avant-première

• Match nul ou victoire de City
• Plus de 2,5 buts

After an uncharacteristically slow start to the campaign, Manchester City appear to be rediscovering their trademark fluency and control. Pep Guardiola’s men come into this contest unbeaten in seven matches across all competitions (W5, D2), a run that has steadied the ship following a patchy early spell. Their dominance at the Etihad Stadium has been particularly impressive, winning seven of their last eight Premier League home fixtures and recording 3+ goal margins in each of their previous two.

That attacking prowess is reflected in the numbers — City have scored more league goals than any other Premier League side in 2024 (55), an indicator that the champions’ forward line remains as ruthless as ever. The combination of sharpness in front of goal and tactical flexibility continues to make them the standard-bearers of English football, especially at home where they regularly overwhelm opponents through sustained pressure and possession control.

City’s recent defensive record is not flawless, but their ability to strike early and control games has offset any vulnerabilities. They have opened the scoring within the first 20 minutes in each of their last five matches, setting the tone and often forcing visitors to chase the game — a dangerous proposition against such an efficient attacking unit.

Everton travel to Manchester buoyed by their dramatic 2-1 win over high-flying Crystal Palace, a result that ended the Eagles’ 19-match unbeaten run and continued the Toffees’ promising recent form. That late comeback encapsulated the fighting spirit David Moyes has managed to instil since returning to the Hill Dickinson Stadium, with his side now boasting six wins from their last ten league matches (D2, L2).

That total already matches the number of wins they managed in their previous 27 Premier League outings (D13, L8), evidence of their progress and improved consistency. The Toffees have been competitive on their travels too, avoiding defeat by more than a single goal in any of their last ten away top-flight games — a remarkable turnaround from last season’s struggles.

Adding a curious omen to their cause, Everton have won their last three Premier League away fixtures played on a Saturday at 3pm, a streak they’ll hope to extend at one of the most intimidating grounds in English football. Their challenge, however, is monumental: they face a City side they haven’t beaten in over a decade, and they must do so without key attacking options.

Historique du face-à-face

This fixture has been one-sided for years. Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 17 meetings with Everton (W14, D3), a dominance stretching back to 2010. The Toffees have not tasted victory at the Etihad Stadium since that year, and the venue has often witnessed comfortable home wins in this matchup.

David Moyes’ personal record here is equally disheartening — the Everton boss has lost on each of his last eight visits to the Etihad. For a club that once regularly frustrated City during his first spell in charge of the Toffees, recent history paints a very different picture.

Statistiques et séries chaudes

• All three home league goals conceded by Manchester City this season have come between the 31st minute and half-time.
• City have gone 1-0 up inside the opening 20 minutes in each of their last five matches.
• Everton have never won a Premier League away match under David Moyes against a side that finished in the top three the previous season (D12, L24).
• Everton are the most-fouled team in the Premier League ahead of this round, having drawn 91 fouls so far.

Joueurs clés à surveiller et joueurs manquants

Erling Haaland returns from the international break in formidable form, having netted a hat-trick for Norway.

The striker has scored his last five home league goals after half-time, a sign that he tends to grow more dangerous as games progress.

Everton’s Iliman Ndiaye is another player to watch, having scored against Palace and contributed to Senegal’s success during the break.

He also found the net in this fixture last season, suggesting he could again be Everton’s spark in transition.

Rodri remains sidelined for Manchester City, depriving Guardiola of his midfield anchor. Meanwhile, on-loan Everton winger Jack Grealish is ineligible to face his parent club. Those absences could slightly alter the tactical balance, though City’s depth means they remain strong favourites.

Betting Analysis and Prediction

Given Manchester City’s imperious home record and attacking rhythm, it is difficult to look beyond a home victory. The champions have rediscovered their groove, and their ability to score early often dictates the tempo of matches at the Etihad. Everton’s recent improvement and defensive resilience suggest they may not be blown away, but their dismal record in this fixture makes an upset highly unlikely.

A narrow home win appears the most logical outcome. City are likely to dominate possession, create a flurry of chances, and eventually find the breakthrough. Everton’s determination and structure may keep the scoreline respectable, but the hosts should still claim all three points.

Predicted Scoreline: Manchester City 2–1 Everton

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Manchester City v Everton | 2025/2026 | Premier League | Overview