PSV vs Arsenal Preview

• Draw
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A struggling PSV Eindhoven welcome Arsenal to the Philips Stadion for the first leg of their UEFA Champions League (UCL) round of 16 tie. PSV will be looking to rekindle the magic of 2006/07, the last time they made it past this stage—at the expense of Arsenal.

After eliminating Juventus in the play-off round, PSV will not be intimidated by another European heavyweight, especially given their strong home record against English opposition (W8, D7, L6).

However, their recent domestic form is concerning, with a four-game winless run (D3, L1) seeing them lose ground in the Eredivisie title race.

For Arsenal, this season has seen their Premier League title challenge fade, making the Champions League their most realistic shot at silverware.

Mikel Arteta’s side have been eliminated at this stage in seven of their last eight UCL campaigns, but they have a chance to post five consecutive UCL proper wins for the first time since 2005/06, when they went on to reach the final.

However, Arsenal’s away record against Dutch teams is far from impressive (W3, D4, L3), and they will need to improve on recent poor attacking displays—failing to score in three of their last four matches.

Key Stats & Facts

• PSV are unbeaten in their last nine UCL home games (W5, D4), last losing in 2018/19.
• Arsenal have failed to score in three of their last four competitive outings (W1, D1, L2).
• PSV have not reached the UCL quarter-finals since 2006/07, when they eliminated Arsenal at this stage.
• Arsenal have been knocked out in the last 16 in seven of their last eight UCL campaigns.
• PSV have a 47% win rate at home against English sides (W8, D7, L6).
• Arsenal have a 30% win rate away to Dutch clubs (W3, D4, L3).

PSV Eindhoven: Can They Repeat History?

PSV have already knocked out one European powerhouse in Juventus, and they will be eager to make another statement here.

Their home record in the UCL is strong, as they are unbeaten in their last nine home games in the competition proper.

Their form against English clubs is also respectable, with a 1-0 win over Arsenal in November 2022 boosting their confidence.

However, their domestic form has taken a dip, and with only one win in their last five matches, Peter Bosz’s men need to regain their cutting edge.

Recent Form (All Competitions)

• Eredivisie: PSV 1-1 NEC Nijmegen – Draw
• Eredivisie: Feyenoord 2-2 PSV – Draw
• Eredivisie: PSV 0-1 AZ Alkmaar – Loss
• Eredivisie: FC Utrecht 1-1 PSV – Draw
• UEFA Champions League Play-Offs: Juventus 1-2 PSV – Win

Key Player: Luuk De Jong (Striker)

• Scored and assisted against Arsenal in his only home H2H (2022/23 UEL).
• Could become just the fifth Dutch player to reach 50 UCL appearances.
• Aerially dominant and a major goal threat in key moments.

Arsenal: Time to Prove Their Mettle

With Premier League hopes fading, Arsenal must now turn full attention to Europe. The Gunners’ performances in the knockout rounds of the UCL have been historically poor, but they have a golden chance to reach the quarter-finals for the first time since 2009/10.

However, their attack has been misfiring—scoring just once in their last four games—and they struggle away to Dutch teams. Mikel Arteta needs his front line to step up if Arsenal are to take control of this tie.

Recent Form (All Competitions)

• Premier League: Arsenal 0-1 West Ham – Loss
• Premier League: Leicester 0-2 Arsenal – Win
• Premier League: Arsenal 1-1 Newcastle – Draw
• Premier League: Arsenal 0-1 Brentford – Loss
• UEFA Champions League: Arsenal 3-0 Porto – Win

Key Player: Ethan Nwaneri (Midfielder)

• Could become just the third English player to start a UCL knockout game under 18 (after Bellingham & Foden).
• Has been a rare bright spark in Arsenal’s attack.
• May be trusted in midfield with the Gunners’ injury concerns.

Team News & Predicted Lineups

PSV Eindhoven Team News

• No major injuries reported, meaning Peter Bosz has a full-strength squad.
• Luuk De Jong will lead the attack, with Noa Lang and Johan Bakayoko supporting from the flanks.

Arsenal Team News

• Kai Havertz is ruled out with a hamstring injury.
• Ethan Nwaneri could start on the wing given the injury crisis.

Head-to-Head Record (Last Five Meetings in European Competitions)

Key Trends

• PSV eliminated Arsenal the last time they met in the UCL knockouts (2006/07).
• Arsenal have never won a UCL knockout tie against Dutch opposition.
• PSV have lost just one of their last nine UCL home games.

Match Prediction

This is a tricky first-leg tie for Arsenal, especially given PSV’s home record in the UCL and their historical success against English sides. The Dutch side’s recent form is shaky, but their strong home performances should give them confidence.

Arsenal desperately need a win to boost morale after recent domestic setbacks, but they have struggled for goals and might find breaking down PSV’s defence difficult.

A tight, tactical battle is expected, and PSV may just have enough to avoid defeat on home soil.

Final Score Prediction: PSV 1-1 Arsenal

• Arsenal to struggle in attack again.
• PSV to take advantage of home crowd.
• Everything to play for in the second leg at the Emirates.

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PSV vs Arsenal | UEFA Champions League 2024/25