Burnley vs Leeds Preview

• Draw
• Both teams to score

Scott Parker’s Burnley have endured a torrid start to life back in the top flight, though there are mitigating factors. The Clarets were handed a nightmare run of early fixtures and find themselves inside the bottom three with just four points from their opening seven matches (W1, D1, L5).

There is, however, a glimmer of encouragement. All four of Burnley’s points so far have been earned at home, including their only win of the campaign — a narrow victory over another newly-promoted side, Sunderland. That pattern could inspire confidence as they return to Turf Moor against a Leeds team with its own inconsistencies.

Nonetheless, Parker can’t ignore the broader picture. Burnley are winless in six competitive games across all competitions (D1, L5), and their home record over a longer period makes grim reading — only three wins from their last 24 Premier League matches at Turf Moor (D5, L16). Their inability to score first has been a recurring problem, leaving them to chase games too often, something that must change if they are to climb out of danger.

The pressure is mounting on Parker to rediscover the formula that made Burnley so dominant in the Championship last season — high-energy pressing, quick ball movement, and compact defensive lines — elements that have so far failed to translate at Premier League level.

Leeds, by contrast, have made a steadier if unspectacular return to the top flight. Sitting three places above Burnley, they hold a modest four-point cushion over their hosts and will be satisfied with their current trajectory. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, with each of their results differing from the previous match — an unpredictable pattern that makes them difficult to read but also capable of springing surprises.

Daniel Farke’s men fell to a 2-1 home defeat to Tottenham before the international break, but that setback might actually bode well if their see-saw pattern continues. Prior to that loss, they secured a valuable 1-0 away victory at Wolves, and another win here would see Leeds record back-to-back Premier League away victories for the first time since April 2022 — a run that ended after seven consecutive defeats on their travels.

Farke will take encouragement from the energy and intensity Leeds have shown in flashes, especially against sides in the bottom half. Their attacking play, driven by overlapping full-backs and quick transitions, can be potent when executed cleanly. However, their defensive frailty remains an issue, with just one clean sheet in their last 24 top-flight away games, a trend that continues to undermine their progress.

Head-to-Head History

These sides are no strangers to one another, having met regularly in both the Premier League and the Championship over recent years. Burnley edged the head-to-head last season in the Championship (W1, D1), but Leeds have dominated the fixture at Premier League level, remaining unbeaten in four top-flight meetings (W3, D1).

Burnley’s inability to get the better of Leeds in the Premier League is a psychological hurdle they’ll be eager to overcome, particularly with home advantage. For the visitors, maintaining that unbeaten record could be vital in keeping early-season momentum intact and putting further daylight between themselves and the relegation zone.

Hot Stats and Streaks

• Burnley Slow Out of the Blocks: The Clarets have conceded the opening goal in a league-high six matches this season — a trend that highlights their vulnerability in the opening stages.
• Attacking Limitations: Burnley haven’t scored more than once in any of their last eight league meetings with Leeds, underlining their historical struggle to break down the Whites’ defence.
• Leeds’ Early-Game Drought: Farke’s men are one of only two Premier League sides yet to score a goal before the 30-minute mark this season.
• Leaky Travellers: Leeds have kept just one clean sheet in their last 24 Premier League away matches, a record that leaves them open to punishment even against teams short on confidence.

Key Players to Watch

Burnley – Quilindschy Hartman

The Dutchman has been one of Burnley’s brightest sparks in an otherwise disappointing campaign.

He assisted their last league goal and leads the team with eight chances created this season — a figure that shows how reliant Burnley have become on his creativity from wide areas.

Leeds – Anton Stach

Leeds’ chief creator with 14 chances carved out so far this term, the German midfielder also netted the winning goal in their only away victory to date.

His ability to dictate tempo and deliver from set pieces could be pivotal in a tight contest.

Team News and Injury Updates

Burnley’s injury concerns continue to mount. Hjalmar Ekdal missed the Clarets’ last league game and remains a doubt, while Lyle Foster’s injury withdrawal from international duty could deprive Kompany of his first-choice striker.

Leeds, meanwhile, are still without Daniel James, whose pace and work rate on the flank have been sorely missed. Farke is likely to stick with his familiar 4-2-3-1 setup, relying on Stach’s creativity and Summerville’s direct running to unsettle Burnley’s back line.

Betting Analysis and Prediction

This fixture pits two sides who have both struggled for goals and consistency, suggesting another tight, cagey encounter could be on the cards. Burnley’s Turf Moor fixtures often produce few goals, particularly against similarly ranked opponents, while Leeds’ recent away record indicates they rarely keep things clean at the back but seldom score freely either.

The combination points strongly toward a low-scoring contest, making under 2.5 goals the most logical betting angle. A draw would not surprise, as Burnley’s home struggles and Leeds’ defensive lapses could easily cancel each other out.

Predicted Scoreline: Burnley 1–1 Leeds

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Burnley v Leeds United | 2025/2026 | Premier League | Overview