Liverpool vs Tottenham Preview
- Liverpool to win
- Over 2.5 goals
After a season of remarkable consistency and dominance, Liverpool stand on the brink of history, needing just a point at Anfield against struggling Tottenham to seal a record-equalling 20th top-flight English league title. Having led the Premier League table since matchday ten, the Reds are now within touching distance of glory, and the stars appear to have aligned for them to do so in front of their home crowd.
The club was denied such a moment of celebration in their last title-winning season of 2019/20 due to COVID-19 restrictions. But this time, the stage is set for what could be a momentous day on Merseyside as Anfield prepares for a potential title party. With head coach Arne Slot on the cusp of becoming the seventh manager to win the Premier League in their debut season, the match carries more than just the weight of three points.
Formidable Anfield form and historical dominance
Liverpool’s home form has been the backbone of their success this season. They have dropped points in just three of their last 17 home league matches, scoring 2-3 goals in 14 of those games, which makes them strong favourites against a Tottenham side mired in mid-table mediocrity.
The Reds also enjoy a 15-match unbeaten home run in league matches against Spurs (W11, D4), further enhancing their confidence of sealing the title in fitting fashion. Their last home defeat to the North London side came back in 2011, and with goals flowing and clean sheets more frequent in recent weeks, Liverpool appear to be peaking at the right time.
Spurs spiralling as season fizzles out
Tottenham head into this clash in disastrous form, having won just one of their last seven Premier League matches (D1, L5). That dismal run has seen them plummet down the table, and they enter the weekend in 16th place, a position that if maintained, would mark their worst top-flight finish since 1977/78.
Their tally of 18 league defeats this season already matches some of the club’s worst Premier League campaigns (1993/94 and 2003/04), and they could make unwanted history if they lose at Anfield – a result that would take them to a club-record 19 losses in a single Premier League season.
While the Europa League semi-finals offer a glimmer of hope for Ange Postecoglou’s side, the mood domestically remains bleak. Spurs have lost six of their last eight league away games, and there’s little evidence to suggest they can halt Liverpool’s title charge.
Head-to-head dominance and goal metrics
Liverpool have clearly enjoyed this fixture over the years. In addition to their long unbeaten run against Tottenham at Anfield, they’ve also scored at least two goals in all but two of their last 17 home league games, underlining the attacking strength that has driven their title pursuit.
Even more compelling is the fact that these sides have already met three times this season, with Liverpool coming out on top in two of those fixtures – including in the Carabao Cup. In both of the Reds’ victories, Dominik Szoboszlai found the net, underlining his penchant for rising to the occasion in big games.
Key battles and players to watch
Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)
A man for the big moment, Szoboszlai has scored in both of Liverpool’s wins over Tottenham this season, and he’ll be keen to add to his tally in what could be a title-clinching fixture.
The Hungarian midfielder has an exceptional record of winning his last 26 club games when scoring, making him a key figure in Liverpool’s charge.
Dominic Solanke (Tottenham)
Facing his former club, Solanke has already scored and assisted against Liverpool this campaign.
Often a bright spark in Spurs’ otherwise gloomy season, the striker has opened the scoring in four of his last five goalscoring appearances, making him their most likely source of disruption at Anfield.
Trent Alexander-Arnold vs Pedro Porro
Expect a fiery battle on the flanks as Liverpool’s marauding right-back looks to expose the defensive frailties of Spurs’ wing-backs. Porro has shown promise going forward but has often been found out defensively, and against a title-chasing Liverpool side, the space he leaves behind could prove costly.
What’s at stake?
For Liverpool:
- One point guarantees the title, bringing their tally to 20 and matching Manchester United.
- A chance to win the Premier League at Anfield, something they were denied in 2020.
- Arne Slot can become the first Liverpool manager since Bob Paisley to win a league title in his first season.
For Tottenham:
- Pride is all that’s left to play for in the league, but momentum is needed ahead of their UEFA Europa League semi-final.
- Another loss would equal their most-ever Premier League defeats in a single season (19).
- With a top-half finish still mathematically possible, a result here could salvage some credibility.
Hot stat
Liverpool have scored exactly 2-3 goals in 14 of their last 17 home Premier League matches, showing consistency and firepower at Anfield.
Prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Tottenham
Liverpool are simply too strong at home and with the title within reach, they should get the job done in style. Spurs may put up a fight, but their poor form and vulnerability at the back should ultimately see them fall short.
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Liverpool v Spurs, 2024/25 | Premier League