Liverpool vs Newcastle Preview
- Liverpool to win
- Salah to score
Liverpool head into this fixture riding high after a statement 2-0 victory over Manchester City at the Etihad, a result that extended their lead at the top of the table to 11 points over Arsenal.
With Arne Slot’s side in dominant form, another win at Anfield could edge them even closer to a second Premier League title in five seasons.
Newcastle, meanwhile, are still in the race for a top-four finish after a dramatic 4-3 comeback win against Nottingham Forest at the weekend.
However, their away form remains a major concern, and a trip to Anfield – a ground they haven’t won at in the league since 1994 – represents a massive challenge.
Key Stats
- Liverpool have won 22 of their last 24 home games played on a Wednesday (D2).
- The Reds have scored at least twice in each of their last 17 home games.
- Newcastle have lost 13 of their last 17 Premier League away games on a Wednesday (W2, D2).
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 28 home league meetings with Newcastle (W23, D5).
- The Magpies have lost 15 of their last 20 away matches against teams starting the day top of the league (D5).
Liverpool: Can They Edge Closer to the Title?
Liverpool’s commanding 2-0 win over Manchester City was another title-defining moment, and their home form makes them overwhelming favourites here.
Arne Slot’s men have been unstoppable at Anfield, averaging over three goals per game at home in the league this season.
Reasons for Optimism
- Unbeaten at Anfield in the Premier League this season.
- Mohamed Salah is in superb form, contributing to both goals against City.
- Newcastle’s poor record at Anfield (last league win in 1994).
Recent Form (Last Five Matches in All Competitions)
- Premier League: Manchester City 0-2 Liverpool – Win
- Premier League: Liverpool 2-1 Wolves – Win
- Premier League: Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool – Draw
- FA Cup: Plymouth 1-0 Liverpool – Loss
- EFL Cup: Liverpool 5-1 Tottenham – Win
Key Player: Mohamed Salah (Forward)
- Scored and assisted against Manchester City.
- Leads the Premier League goal charts.
- Scored and assisted in the reverse fixture vs Newcastle.
Newcastle United: Can They Defy History?
Newcastle’s thrilling 4-3 win over Nottingham Forest kept them within touching distance of the top four, but their away record against elite sides remains dreadful.
Eddie Howe’s men have lost three of their last five league games, and a trip to Anfield has historically been one of their toughest fixtures.
Reasons for Concern
- Have not won at Anfield in the league since 1994 (D5, L23).
- Conceded 3+ goals in four of their last five league away games.
- Have lost three of their last five league matches.
Recent Form (Last Five Matches in All Competitions)
- Premier League: Newcastle 4-3 Nottingham Forest – Win
- EFL Cup: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal – Win
- Premier League: Newcastle 0-2 Aston Villa – Loss
- Premier League: Manchester City 4-0 Newcastle – Loss
- Premier League: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham – Win
Key Player: Alexander Isak (Striker)
- Scored twice against Forest.
- Highest-scoring Swedish player in Premier League history (50 goals).
- Scored in the reverse fixture vs Liverpool.
Head-to-Head Record (Last Five Meetings in All Competitions)
Date |
Match |
Result |
27/08/24 |
Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool |
Liverpool Win |
01/01/24 |
Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle |
Liverpool Win |
18/02/23 |
Newcastle 0-2 Liverpool |
Liverpool Win |
31/08/22 |
Liverpool 2-1 Newcastle |
Liverpool Win |
30/04/22 |
Newcastle 0-1 Liverpool |
Liverpool Win |
Key Trends
- Liverpool have won the last five Premier League H2Hs.
- Newcastle’s last league win at Anfield was in April 1994.
- The last three meetings at Anfield have all seen Liverpool score 2+ goals.
Tactical Insights
Liverpool’s Approach
- High pressing to force Newcastle’s defence into errors.
- Utilise width to stretch Newcastle’s backline.
- Exploit Newcastle’s defensive frailties, particularly away from home.
Newcastle’s Approach
- Compact defensive shape to absorb Liverpool’s attacks.
- Counter-attacks through Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon.
- Target Liverpool’s high defensive line with quick transitions.
Match Prediction
Liverpool’s dominant home form, historical superiority in this fixture, and Newcastle’s defensive struggles away from home all point towards another comfortable win for the league leaders.
Newcastle have the firepower to trouble Liverpool’s defence, but their poor record at Anfield and defensive vulnerabilities on the road make them massive underdogs.
Final Score Prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Newcastle United
- Mohamed Salah to score and assist.
- Alexander Isak to get on the scoresheet for Newcastle.
- Liverpool to extend their lead at the top of the Premier League table.
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