Southampton vs Brighton Preview

• Brighton to win
• Mitoma to score or assist

Southampton’s hopes of avoiding relegation took another hit last week as they slumped to a 3-1 defeat against Bournemouth, a result that left manager Ivan Jurić admitting his side are lacking in all areas.

The Saints have now lost seven consecutive home matches in the Premier League, and another defeat here would see them join an unwanted list of teams beaten in eight straight home games.

Brighton, meanwhile, head into this fixture in buoyant spirits after back-to-back wins against Chelsea in the Premier League and FA Cup.

Manager Fabian Hürzeler will hope his team continue their dominance over Southampton in the Premier League, where they are unbeaten in six consecutive H2Hs (W3, D3).

With Brighton unbeaten in six of their last seven away games across all competitions (W3, D3, L1) and Southampton boasting the league’s worst defensive record, this South Coast derby could prove to be a long afternoon for the hosts.

Southampton: The Fight for Survival

Sitting at the bottom of the table, Southampton are running out of time to save their season. Their seven-game home losing streak is a huge concern, and conceding 3+ goals in six of those matches highlights their defensive frailties.

Why Southampton Fans Can Be Hopeful

They have been competitive in most H2Hs vs Brighton (D3, L3 in the last six meetings).
Kamaldeen Sulemana is in good form, scoring his first Premier League goal last week.
Desperate times could inspire a fighting performance at home.

Recent Form (Last Five Matches in All Competitions)

• Premier League: Southampton 1-3 Bournemouth – L
• Premier League: Southampton 2-1 Ipswich – W
• FA Cup: Southampton 2-3 Burnley – L
• Premier League: Newcastle 4-0 Southampton – L
• Premier League: Brentford 2-0 Southampton – L

Key Player: Kamaldeen Sulemana

• Scored his first Premier League goal of the season last weekend.
• All five of his last club goals have been scored at home.
• A pacey and tricky forward who could trouble Brighton’s defence on the counter.

Brighton: Back on Track?

After an embarrassing 7-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest, Brighton responded in the best possible way with dominant 3-0 and 2-1 wins over Chelsea in league and cup competition.

Their away form has generally been strong, and they remain unbeaten at St Mary’s in the Premier League (W2, D4).

Why Brighton Fans Can Be Hopeful

• They are unbeaten at St Mary’s in Premier League history.
• Back-to-back wins over Chelsea suggest they have moved past the Nottingham Forest humiliation.
• Brighton’s attack has been potent, scoring nine times in their last three away wins.

Recent Form (Last Five Matches in All Competitions)

• FA Cup: Brighton 2-1 Chelsea – W
• Premier League: Brighton 3-0 Chelsea – W
• Premier League: Nottingham Forest 7-0 Brighton – L
• Premier League: Brighton 1-0 West Ham – W
• Premier League: Brentford 0-2 Brighton – W

Key Player: Kaoru Mitoma

• Scored a stunning goal vs Chelsea last week.
• Five goal contributions (4G, 1A) in his last six games – as many as in his previous 28.
• Brighton’s creative spark who could exploit Southampton’s leaky defence.

Head-to-Head Record (Last Six Premier League Meetings)

Key Trends

• Brighton are unbeaten in their last six Premier League meetings with Southampton (W3, D3).
• Southampton have lost each of the last three meetings by a 3-1 scoreline.
• Brighton have never lost a Premier League game at St Mary’s (W2, D4).

Tactical Insights

Southampton’s Approach

• Look to start quickly and grab an early goal.
• Tighten up at the back after conceding 3+ goals in six of their last seven home games.
• Utilize Sulemana’s pace to hit Brighton on the break.

Brighton’s Approach

• Dominate possession and dictate the tempo.
• Exploit Southampton’s defensive vulnerability with Mitoma’s dribbling ability.
• Stay disciplined at the back to avoid giving Southampton a route into the game.

Match Prediction

Given Southampton’s defensive frailties and Brighton’s confidence after beating Chelsea, it’s hard to see anything other than an away win here. The Seagulls have dominated this fixture in recent years, and unless Southampton drastically improve their defence, they could suffer another heavy defeat.

Final Score Prediction: Southampton 1-3 Brighton

• Mitoma to score or assist again.
• Sulemana to be Southampton’s biggest attacking threat.
• Brighton to continue their unbeaten record at St Mary’s.

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Southampton v Brighton, 2024/25 | Premier League