Southampton vs Newcastle Preview

• Newcastle to win
• Under 0.5 goals for Southampton

Southampton host Newcastle at St. Mary’s Stadium in a clash that highlights the stark contrast between two sides at opposite ends of the Premier League table.

The Saints are in dire need of points to keep their slim survival hopes alive, while Newcastle are aiming to strengthen their top-four credentials after a rare setback last week. Here’s an in-depth look at what to expect from this pivotal encounter.

Southampton: A Season on the Brink

Southampton’s campaign has been nothing short of disastrous. With just one win from 22 Premier League matches (D3, L18), their tally of six points equals the joint-second lowest total at this stage of a top-flight season.

The only team to fare worse after 22 games was Bolton Wanderers in 1902/03, who managed just three points under the modern system of three points for a win.

History does not favour Southampton’s survival chances, making their fixture against Newcastle a must-win if they are to mount an improbable escape.

New manager Ivan Juric has yet to inspire a turnaround, losing all five Premier League games since his appointment. Adding to their woes, Southampton have a poor recent record against Newcastle, winning just one of their last 13 league meetings (D3, L9).

While home advantage offers a glimmer of hope, the Saints face an uphill task against a well-organised and in-form opponent.

Newcastle United: Eager to Rebound

Newcastle‘s nine-match Premier League winning streak was emphatically ended last week by Bournemouth, who claimed a stunning 4-1 victory at St. James’ Park.

While the result was a reality check for Eddie Howe’s side, Newcastle have shown resilience all season, avoiding back-to-back league defeats since October.

The Magpies remain formidable on the road, having won their last three away games in the league. A fourth successive away victory would mark their best streak since October 1996.

Furthermore, Newcastle’s dominance against promoted teams under Eddie Howe is noteworthy, with just one defeat in their last 23 such games (W14, D8).

They’ve also won all six Premier League encounters against Southampton since Howe’s appointment, underlining their superiority in this matchup.

Key Players to Watch

Southampton: Paul Onuachu

Paul Onuachu finally opened his Premier League account with a late goal in Southampton’s 3-2 loss to Nottingham Forest. Known for his aerial prowess and physicality, Onuachu could be crucial in breaking down Newcastle’s defence.

His strike ended a run of four first-half goals at club level, suggesting he thrives in high-pressure moments. Southampton will need more of that if they are to take anything from this game.

Newcastle: Bruno Guimarães

Bruno Guimarães has been one of Newcastle’s standout performers this season, contributing both defensively and offensively. He scored last week against Bournemouth and remains a constant midfield threat.

Bruno also leads the Premier League in fouls suffered this season (76), highlighting his ability to draw challenges and disrupt opposition momentum. His battle against Southampton’s midfield could prove decisive.

Tactical Analysis

Southampton’s Approach

Under Juric, Southampton have struggled to find consistency in attack or defence. Their reliance on set-pieces and crosses to capitalise on Onuachu’s strengths will likely remain their primary strategy.

However, they must also tighten up defensively, having conceded far too many goals from open play. Juric may opt for a more compact shape to frustrate Newcastle, hoping to hit them on the counter-attack.

Newcastle’s Strategy

Newcastle’s success has been built on defensive solidity and quick transitions. Eddie Howe’s side is expected to dominate possession, with Bruno Guimarães and Joelinton dictating the tempo in midfield.

With wide players Gordon and Murphy providing creativity and Alexander Isak leading the line, Newcastle have the tools to exploit Southampton’s defensive vulnerabilities. Their ability to press high and win the ball in dangerous areas will be key.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent history between these two sides heavily favours Newcastle. The Magpies have won all six league meetings since Eddie Howe’s arrival, scoring freely in the process.

Southampton’s lone victory in their last 13 Premier League encounters with Newcastle came years ago, underlining their struggle in this fixture.

Predictions and Final Thoughts

Southampton’s dreadful form and inability to grind out results make them underdogs in this clash. Newcastle, despite last week’s setback, are a team on the rise and should have enough quality to secure a comfortable win at St. Mary’s.

Predicted Scoreline: Southampton 0-2 Newcastle

Newcastle’s organised defence and attacking prowess should prove too much for Southampton. For the Saints, the focus may soon shift to preparing for life in the Championship unless a miraculous turnaround begins soon.

Conclusion

Southampton’s dire situation means they approach this game with desperation, while Newcastle are motivated to bounce back from a rare defeat.

The visitors’ strong form, coupled with their dominance in recent head-to-head meetings, makes them heavy favourites. With both teams having much to play for, the stage is set for an intriguing battle at St. Mary’s.

For more info on this game, you may also visit:
Southampton v Newcastle, 2024/25 | Premier League