Aston Villa vs Leicester Preview
- Villa to win
- Over 2.5 goals
The New Year begins with a vital clash at Villa Park as Aston Villa host Leicester City in a match that could set the tone for both teams’ 2025 campaigns.
Villa are looking to regain their European ambitions after a lacklustre end to 2024, while Leicester are battling to climb out of the relegation zone under Ruud van Nistelrooy.
This encounter promises drama, with both sides desperate for points to start the year on a high.
Aston Villa: Aiming for a Fresh Start
Aston Villa’s inconsistent end to 2024 has left them on the fringes of the European places, starting January in ninth place after just one win in their last four league matches (D1, L2).
The 2-2 draw against Brighton in their final match of 2024 was the highlight of Villa’s defensive frailties, which have been a recurring issue under Unai Emery.
Villa’s defensive woes are well-documented, with only two clean sheets in their last 24 Premier League matches. Emery will undoubtedly prioritise tightening up the backline as they push to re-enter the European qualification spots.
Encouragingly, Villa have begun the past two years with a win and a clean sheet, and they’ll hope to extend that trend against Leicester.
One of Villa’s key strengths has been their attacking play at home, spearheaded by Ollie Watkins. The striker has been in fine form at Villa Park, contributing goals and assists in recent matches, and his influence will be crucial as Villa aim to return to winning ways.
Leicester City: Fighting for Survival
The Foxes have endured a torrid run of form, with four consecutive defeats plunging them into the relegation zone.
Ruud van Nistelrooy’s promising start as Leicester manager, which included a win and a draw, has quickly unravelled, leaving the East Midlanders in desperate need of points.
Leicester’s defensive record has been particularly alarming, with each of their last four losses seeing them concede at least two goals.
This leaves the club on the verge of an unwanted milestone: losing five consecutive Premier League games while conceding 2+ goals for the first time since October 2003.
Despite their struggles, Leicester can draw confidence from their historical success in New Year fixtures. They’ve lost their opening game of a calendar year just once since 2008 (W11, D4), and their record at Villa Park is equally encouraging, with three wins from their last four league visits.
Players to Watch
Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)
Watkins has been a consistent performer for Villa, with his recent penalty against Brighton highlighting his influence at home.
The forward has either scored or assisted in his last three matches against Leicester, making him a key player to watch in this fixture. His ability to create and convert chances will be vital as Villa look to exploit Leicester’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Jordan Ayew (Leicester City)
Facing his former club, Jordan Ayew has developed a reputation for late heroics. Three of his last four club goals have come after the 90th minute, showcasing his knack for making an impact when it matters most.
With Leicester in dire need of inspiration, Ayew’s contributions could be pivotal in turning their fortunes around.
Tactical Analysis and Key Battles
Villa’s Attack vs Leicester’s Defence
Aston Villa will look to capitalise on Leicester’s defensive struggles, with Watkins leading the line supported by creative midfielders like John McGinn and Emiliano Buendía. Villa’s ability to press high and create chances could overwhelm a fragile Leicester backline that has struggled to cope with sustained pressure.
Leicester’s Counter-Attack
While Villa are expected to dominate possession, Leicester’s best chance of success lies in their counter-attacking potential. With Harvey Barnes and Kelechi Iheanacho providing pace and creativity, the Foxes could exploit any gaps left by Villa’s attacking intent.
Set-Pieces
Set-pieces could prove decisive, given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities. Villa will rely on Tyrone Mings and Ezri Konsa to neutralise Leicester’s aerial threats, while Leicester must remain vigilant against Villa’s well-drilled routines.
Predicted Outcome
Aston Villa’s strong home form and attacking quality make them favourites, especially given Leicester’s recent struggles. However, the Foxes’ historical success in New Year fixtures and their record at Villa Park suggest they shouldn’t be underestimated.
Prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Leicester City
Final Thoughts
This match offers both teams a chance to reset and begin 2025 on a positive note. Aston Villa will aim to reignite their European push, while Leicester are in desperate need of points to escape the relegation zone.
With Ollie Watkins and Jordan Ayew poised to play crucial roles, expect an engaging and competitive encounter at Villa Park.
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Aston Villa v Leicester, 2024/25 | Premier League